United States Credit Agency Market By Client Type (Individual, Commercial), By Vertical (Direct-To-Consumer, Government and Public Sector, Healthcare, Financial Services, Software and Professional Services, Media and Technology, Automotive, Telecom and Utilities, Retail and E-Commerce, Others), By Region, Competition, Forecast & Opportunities, 2020-2030F
Market Report I 2025-01-24 I 85 Pages I TechSci Research
United States Credit Agency Market was valued at USD 17.73 Billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 24.81 Billion by 2030 with a CAGR of 5.82% during the forecast period. The growing demand for credit cards is expected to drive the expansion of the credit agency market in the near future. Credit cards serve as alternatives to cash or checks, typically offering an unsecured revolving line of credit. Credit card issuers frequently share cardholder activity data with credit agencies, aiding in the assessment of individual creditworthiness. This data plays a crucial role in determining loan eligibility and provides added benefits, including unlimited rewards, insurance coverage, discounts, cashback, and improved credit scores. Additionally, the adoption of blockchain technology is becoming an important trend in the credit agency market. According to the latest consumer debt data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Americans' total credit card balance reached USD1.166 trillion in the third quarter of 2024. This is an increase from USD1.142 trillion in the second quarter of 2024 and marks the highest balance recorded.
Key Market Drivers
Increasing Demand for Credit Ratings
The growing need for credit ratings is one of the primary drivers of the United States Credit Agency Market. As businesses and governments continue to issue bonds and other debt instruments to finance operations and growth, credit agencies are essential in providing independent assessments of creditworthiness. Investors rely on credit ratings to make informed decisions about which securities to purchase, as these ratings indicate the level of risk associated with different debt instruments. The rise in corporate debt issuance, government borrowing, and the expansion of financial markets has led to an increased demand for credit ratings. Additionally, regulatory requirements in many markets require companies to obtain ratings for their debt offerings, further bolstering the role of credit agencies. As economic conditions fluctuate and new financial instruments emerge, the need for accurate, up-to-date ratings becomes even more important to investors and regulators, driving demand for credit agency services. This trend is expected to continue as the financial market expands and financial institutions seek trusted rating agencies to assess credit risk and guide investment decisions.
Regulatory Environment and Compliance Requirements
The evolving regulatory landscape has become a significant driver of the U.S. Credit Agency Market. Credit agencies play a vital role in helping businesses, banks, and other financial institutions comply with a wide range of regulations related to financial reporting, risk management, and capital requirements. For instance, regulatory bodies such as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Federal Reserve rely on credit agencies to ensure that companies adhere to credit standards that safeguard investors and maintain financial stability. The post-2008 financial crisis regulatory changes, such as the Dodd-Frank Act, have heightened the need for accurate credit assessments, as regulatory oversight has intensified in areas like risk management and capital reserves. Additionally, the global push for more transparency and standardized practices in financial markets has increased reliance on credit rating agencies to provide clear and consistent credit ratings. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) has finalized a rule that will eliminate approximately USD49 billion in medical debt from the credit reports of around 15 million Americans. This new rule will prevent medical bills from appearing on credit reports used by lenders and will also bar lenders from considering medical information when making lending decisions. The rule aims to enhance privacy protections and stop debt collectors from using the credit reporting system to pressure individuals into paying bills they do not owe.
Growth in Structured Finance and New Financial Products
The rise of structured finance products and innovation in financial markets is another key driver of the United States Credit Agency Market. Over the last decade, there has been a growing trend toward the creation of complex financial instruments, such as collateralized debt obligations (CDOs), mortgage-backed securities (MBS), and asset-backed securities (ABS), which require detailed credit assessments. These products often involve pooling different types of debt and creating new investment vehicles, making it crucial for credit agencies to evaluate the risk associated with the underlying assets. As the market for structured finance expands, credit agencies are in high demand to provide ratings that assess the risk levels of these multifaceted products. Furthermore, as financial institutions and corporations seek to create new investment vehicles, the complexity of these products makes it increasingly important to have independent and accurate credit assessments. The growth of private equity, venture capital, and other non-traditional investment vehicles also contributes to this trend.
Key Market Challenges
Regulatory Scrutiny and Compliance Risks
One of the major challenges facing the United States Credit Agency Market is the increasing regulatory scrutiny and compliance requirements. After the 2008 financial crisis, credit agencies came under heightened criticism for their role in assigning favorable ratings to subprime mortgage-backed securities, which contributed to the crisis. In response, regulators, including the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Dodd-Frank Act, imposed stricter regulations and oversight on credit rating agencies. Agencies must adhere to complex rules regarding transparency, disclosure, and conflicts of interest. Additionally, global regulations such as Basel III require financial institutions to maintain higher capital reserves, adding pressure on credit agencies to ensure their ratings are precise and reliable. With the constant evolution of financial regulations, credit agencies must continually adapt their methodologies and processes to stay compliant, which increases operational costs and risks associated with regulatory missteps.
Market Volatility and Economic Uncertainty
Market volatility and economic uncertainty represent a significant challenge for credit agencies. Financial markets are subject to fluctuations due to factors such as interest rates, geopolitical events, inflation, and global trade dynamics. These unpredictable conditions can make it difficult for credit agencies to assess long-term creditworthiness accurately. For example, during periods of economic downturns or market crises, credit agencies may need to downgrade the credit ratings of companies or financial products, which can result in reputational damage and loss of investor confidence. Moreover, rating agencies must constantly adjust to shifting economic indicators that influence credit risk, adding complexity to their analysis. The dynamic nature of financial markets requires credit agencies to be agile and responsive but forecasting economic conditions with precision is a challenge that can lead to either overestimating or underestimating risks, which in turn affects the market's perception of their credibility.
Key Market Trends
Technological Advancements in Rating Methodologies
Technological innovation is transforming the credit rating industry, with agencies increasingly adopting advanced tools like artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), and big data analytics. These technologies are enabling more accurate and efficient credit assessments by processing vast amounts of financial and non-financial data in real-time. For example, AI algorithms can analyze historical data, economic trends, and even social media sentiment to better predict credit risks. This trend is particularly valuable in evaluating complex financial instruments, such as collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and asset-backed securities (ABS), which require extensive data analysis. By incorporating these technologies, credit agencies can improve the accuracy of their ratings, reduce human error, and offer faster insights to investors. Moreover, automation helps agencies manage the growing volume of credit ratings more efficiently, improving the scalability of their operations and allowing them to stay competitive in a rapidly evolving market.
Shift Toward Independent and Niche Credit Rating Agencies
While the "Big Three" credit rating agencies (Moody's, S&P, and Fitch) continue to dominate, there is a growing trend toward independent and niche credit rating agencies. These smaller agencies focus on specialized markets, such as municipal bonds, green bonds, or emerging markets, offering more tailored and focused credit assessments. Independent agencies are capitalizing on their ability to provide unbiased, transparent ratings and serve niche sectors that the larger agencies may overlook. This trend is fueled by the desire for more diverse opinions on credit risk, as investors seek alternatives to the ratings from the established agencies, particularly after the 2008 financial crisis, which led to concerns about conflicts of interest and rating accuracy. As investors demand more specialized ratings, independent and niche agencies are gaining traction, providing valuable competition and enhancing the overall credibility of the credit rating market. This trend may encourage innovation and better transparency in the sector.
Segmental Insights
Client Type Insights
In the United States Credit Agency Market, commercial clients are the leading segment in terms of demand for credit rating services. Commercial entities, including corporations, financial institutions, and government bodies, require credit ratings for a variety of purposes, including issuing bonds, securing loans, and meeting regulatory requirements. These clients typically represent large-scale operations with complex financial structures, making accurate credit assessments crucial for their financial stability and investor confidence. Credit rating agencies play a vital role in providing independent evaluations of commercial creditworthiness, which influences the terms and conditions of debt issuance and financing options. While individual clients, such as consumers seeking credit scores for personal loans or mortgages, do contribute to the market, the volume and significance of commercial clients' needs drive the market's size and growth. Commercial clients often engage credit agencies for ongoing monitoring of creditworthiness and for evaluating risk in large investment portfolios, further cementing their dominance in the credit agency market.
Regional Insights
The Northeast region dominated the United States Credit Agency Market due to its strong economic infrastructure, high concentration of financial institutions, and proximity to major global financial hubs. Cities like New York, home to Wall Street, serve as the financial capital of the country, hosting a significant number of credit agencies, investment banks, and regulatory bodies. This region benefits from a large pool of commercial clients, including multinational corporations, government entities, and institutional investors, who rely on credit agencies for accurate risk assessments and ratings for debt issuance and investment decisions. Furthermore, the Northeast's established financial ecosystem fosters a competitive environment, with credit agencies offering a wide range of services, including corporate credit ratings, municipal bond ratings, and structured finance evaluations. The region's economic prominence, coupled with its deep financial market infrastructure, continues to drive the demand for credit agency services, making it the leading market in the United States.
Key Market Players
Equifax Inc.
Trans Union LLC
Experian PLC
Fair Isaac Corp.
Moody's Corporation
Fitch Group, Inc.
S&P Global Inc.
KBRA Holdings, LLC
Morningstar DBRS
A.M. Best Company, Inc
Report Scope:
In this report, the United States Credit Agency Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
United States Credit Agency Market, By Client Type:
o Individual
o Commercial
United States Credit Agency Market, By Vertical:
o Direct-To-Consumer
o Government and Public Sector
o Healthcare
o Financial Services
o Software and Professional Services
o Media and Technology
o Automotive
o Telecom and Utilities
o Retail and E-Commerce
o Others
United States Credit Agency Market, By Region:
o South
o West
o Midwest
o Northeast
Competitive Landscape
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies presents in the United States Credit Agency Market.
Available Customizations:
United States Credit Agency Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:
Company Information
Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to five).
1. Introduction
1.1. Market Overview
1.2. Key Highlights of the Report
1.3. Market Coverage
1.4. Market Segments Covered
1.5. Research Tenure Considered
2. Research Methodology
2.1. Methodology Landscape
2.2. Objective of the Study
2.3. Baseline Methodology
2.4. Formulation of the Scope
2.5. Assumptions and Limitations
2.6. Sources of Research
2.7. Approach for the Market Study
2.8. Methodology Followed for Calculation of Market Size & Market Shares
2.9. Forecasting Methodology
3. Executive Summary
3.1. Market Overview
3.2. Market Forecast
3.3. Key Regions
3.4. Key Segments
4. Voice of Customer
4.1. Factors Influencing Availing Decision
4.2. Source of Information
5. United States Credit Agency Market Outlook
5.1. Market Size & Forecast
5.1.1. By Value
5.2. Market Share & Forecast
5.2.1. By Client Type Market Share Analysis (Individual, Commercial)
5.2.2. By Vertical Market Share Analysis (Direct-To-Consumer, Government and Public Sector, Healthcare, Financial Services, Software and Professional Services, Media and Technology, Automotive, Telecom and Utilities, Retail and E-Commerce, Others)
5.2.3. By Regional Market Share Analysis
5.2.3.1. South Market Share Analysis
5.2.3.2. West Market Share Analysis
5.2.3.3. Midwest Market Share Analysis
5.2.3.4. Northeast Market Share Analysis
5.2.4. By Top 5 Companies Market Share Analysis, Others (2024)
5.3. United States Credit Agency Market Mapping & Opportunity Assessment
5.3.1. By Client Type Mapping & Opportunity Assessment
5.3.2. By Vertical Market Mapping & Opportunity Assessment
5.3.3. By Region Market Mapping & Opportunity Assessment
6. South United States Credit Agency Market Outlook
6.1. Market Size & Forecast
6.1.1. By Value
6.2. Market Share & Forecast
6.2.1. By Client Type Market Share Analysis
6.2.2. By Vertical Market Share Analysis
7. West United States Credit Agency Market Outlook
7.1. Market Size & Forecast
7.1.1. By Value
7.2. Market Share & Forecast
7.2.1. By Client Type Market Share Analysis
7.2.2. By Vertical Market Share Analysis
8. Midwest United States Credit Agency Market Outlook
8.1. Market Size & Forecast
8.1.1. By Value
8.2. Market Share & Forecast
8.2.1. By Client Type Market Share Analysis
8.2.2. By Vertical Market Share Analysis
9. Northeast United States Credit Agency Market Outlook
9.1. Market Size & Forecast
9.1.1. By Value
9.2. Market Share & Forecast
9.2.1. By Client Type Market Share Analysis
9.2.2. By Vertical Market Share Analysis
10. Market Dynamics
10.1. Drivers
10.2. Challenges
11. Market Trends & Developments
12. SWOT Analysis
12.1. Strength
12.2. Weakness
12.3. Opportunity
12.4. Threat
13. Policy & Regulatory Landscape
14. United States Economic Profile
15. Competitive Landscape
15.1. Company Profiles
15.1.1. Equifax Inc.
15.1.1.1. Company Details
15.1.1.2. Products & Services
15.1.1.3. Financials (As Per Availability)
15.1.1.4. Key Market Focus & Geographical Presence
15.1.1.5. Recent Developments
15.1.1.6. Key Management Personnel
15.1.2. Trans Union LLC
15.1.2.1. Company Details
15.1.2.2. Products & Services
15.1.2.3. Financials (As Per Availability)
15.1.2.4. Key Market Focus & Geographical Presence
15.1.2.5. Recent Developments
15.1.2.6. Key Management Personnel
15.1.3. Experian PLC
15.1.3.1. Company Details
15.1.3.2. Products & Services
15.1.3.3. Financials (As Per Availability)
15.1.3.4. Key Market Focus & Geographical Presence
15.1.3.5. Recent Developments
15.1.3.6. Key Management Personnel
15.1.4. Fair Isaac Corp.
15.1.4.1. Company Details
15.1.4.2. Products & Services
15.1.4.3. Financials (As Per Availability)
15.1.4.4. Key Market Focus & Geographical Presence
15.1.4.5. Recent Developments
15.1.4.6. Key Management Personnel
15.1.5. Moody's Corporation
15.1.5.1. Company Details
15.1.5.2. Products & Services
15.1.5.3. Financials (As Per Availability)
15.1.5.4. Key Market Focus & Geographical Presence
15.1.5.5. Recent Developments
15.1.5.6. Key Management Personnel
15.1.6. Fitch Group, Inc.
15.1.6.1. Company Details
15.1.6.2. Products & Services
15.1.6.3. Financials (As Per Availability)
15.1.6.4. Key Market Focus & Geographical Presence
15.1.6.5. Recent Developments
15.1.6.6. Key Management Personnel
15.1.7. S&P Global Inc.
15.1.7.1. Company Details
15.1.7.2. Products & Services
15.1.7.3. Financials (As Per Availability)
15.1.7.4. Key Market Focus & Geographical Presence
15.1.7.5. Recent Developments
15.1.7.6. Key Management Personnel
15.1.8. KBRA Holdings, LLC
15.1.8.1. Company Details
15.1.8.2. Products & Services
15.1.8.3. Financials (As Per Availability)
15.1.8.4. Key Market Focus & Geographical Presence
15.1.8.5. Recent Developments
15.1.8.6. Key Management Personnel
15.1.9. Morningstar DBRS
15.1.9.1. Company Details
15.1.9.2. Products & Services
15.1.9.3. Financials (As Per Availability)
15.1.9.4. Key Market Focus & Geographical Presence
15.1.9.5. Recent Developments
15.1.9.6. Key Management Personnel
15.1.10. A.M. Best Company, Inc.
15.1.10.1. Company Details
15.1.10.2. Products & Services
15.1.10.3. Financials (As Per Availability)
15.1.10.4. Key Market Focus & Geographical Presence
15.1.10.5. Recent Developments
15.1.10.6. Key Management Personnel
16. Strategic Recommendations
16.1. Key Focus Areas
16.2. Target Client Type
16.3. Target Vertical
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