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Report
United Arab Emirates Residential Real Estate - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
Market Report I 2025-06-01 I 150 Pages I Mordor Intelligence
United Arab Emirates Residential Real Estate Market Analysis
The UAE residential real estate market is valued at USD 143.22 billion in 2025 and is forecast to climb to USD 217.09 billion by 2030, advancing at an 8.66% CAGR. Market depth widens as record millionaire migration, visa liberalization, and post-Expo infrastructure lift both demand and transaction volumes. Primary developers accelerate off-plan pipelines while technology-driven design tools compress build times and boost profitability. Supply remains tight relative to population growth, reinforcing price resilience even as new handovers lag forecasts. Meanwhile, Ras Al Khaimah gains prominence on the back of marquee tourism projects that redirect capital away from Dubai's core, adding a fresh layer of geographic diversification to the UAE residential real estate market.
United Arab Emirates Residential Real Estate Market Trends and Insights
Expo-2020 legacy stimulating long-term in-migration & housing demand
Dubai's post-Expo infrastructure sustains residential absorption. Population touched 3.8 million in 2024, up 5% year-on-year, while tourist arrivals rose 9% to 18.7 million. Q1 2025 notched 43,000 residential transactions worth AED 115 billion, up 23% in volume from 2024. Transport upgrades, greener public spaces, and a diversified service economy underpin the emirate's transformation from a transient business stop to a permanent living hub. Northern Emirates also benefit as improved connectivity funnels new residents outward.
Visa reforms (Golden & Retirement Visas) broadening buyer base
Streamlined residency pathways pull global investors into the UAE residential real estate market. Golden Visa issuances rose 52% in H1 2024 after fee waivers and relaxed down-payment thresholds. Efficient 7-10-day processing converts inquiries into deeds, while European buyers hedge against stricter tax regimes at home. A dedicated five-year retirement visa anchors a nascent senior housing niche, enlarging overall demand beyond conventional expatriate segments.
Volatile oil prices limiting federal spending & subsidies
Fluctuating crude revenues threaten affordable-housing allocations, especially in subsidy-dependent Northern Emirates. A recent AED 2.3 billion disbursement clears a backlog but underscores vulnerability to commodity swings. Broader economic diversification buffers the impact, yet uncertainty over budget cycles can defer project timelines and dampen near-term absorption.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
Surge in ultra-high-net-worth individuals fuelling luxury segment / GCC remote-work policies increasing expat tenant retention / Rising mortgage rates compressing affordability for mid-income buyers /
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Segment Analysis
Apartments maintained a commanding 73% share of the UAE residential real estate market in 2024 as investors favored compact, yield-generating assets. Q1 2025 launches added 25,000 new apartment units, and average rental yields held steady at 6.7%. Smart-home features are becoming standard, enhancing price premiums in a crowded inventory pool.
Villas are the clear growth engine, advancing at a 9.20% CAGR. Peripheral zones like Dubai South witness robust uptake as professionals trade proximity for space. Al Maktoum Airport's USD 128 billion upgrade catalyzes demand, and developers bundle flexible payment schedules to widen access. The UAE residential real estate market size for villas is set to expand faster than any other property category through 2030
The mid-market anchors 47% of spending, supplying housing for skilled expatriates earning AED 3,000-10,000 per month. Targeted land releases will add 17,080 affordable units, yet only 25% of new stock is truly accessible to average families, revealing an affordability gap.
Luxury homes are scaling at a 10.00% CAGR as global elites relocate capital and families. Saadiyat Island recorded a 12% price jump in 2024, and yields hover near 6.5%. Partnerships such as Modon and Candy Capital expand ultra-luxury pipelines, signaling developer confidence in sustained up-market demand inside the UAE residential real estate market.
The UAE Residential Real Estate Market is Segmented by Property Type (Apartments & Condominiums and Villas & Landed Houses), Price Band (Affordable, Mid-Market and Luxury), Mode of Sale (Primary and Secondary), Business Model (Sales and Rental) and Emirates (Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Sharjah, Ras Al Khaimah and Rest of UAE). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
List of Companies Covered in this Report:
Emaar Properties PJSC / Aldar Properties / Damac Properties / Nakheel PJSC / Azizi Developments / Arada / Deyaar Development / Dubai Properties / Union Properties / Bloom Holding / Sobha Realty / Ellington Properties / MAG Property Development / Danube Properties / Seven Tides / Tiger Properties / Binghatti Developers / Meydan Group / Wasl Properties / Meraas Holding / Al-Futtaim Group Real Estate / Omniyat / Select Group / Al Habtoor Group / Reportage Properties /
Additional Benefits:
The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format /
3 months of analyst support /
1 Introduction
1.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
1.2 Scope of the Study
2 Research Methodology
3 Executive Summary
4 Market Landscape
4.1 Overview of UAE Economy & Residential Market
4.2 Real-estate Buying Trends - Socio-economic & Demographic Insights
4.3 Government Initiatives & Regulatory Aspects for Residential Real Estate
4.4 Focus on Technology Innovation, Start-ups & PropTech in Residential Real Estate
4.5 Insights into Rental Yields in Residential Segment
4.6 Real-estate Lending Dynamics (Mortgage Size, LTV, Rate Trends)
4.7 Insights into Affordable-housing Support & Public-private Partnerships
4.8 Market Drivers
4.8.1 Expo-2020 Legacy Stimulating Long-term In-migration & Housing Demand
4.8.2 Visa Reforms (Golden & Retirement Visas) Broadening Buyer Base
4.8.3 Surge in Ultra-High-Net-Worth Individuals Fuelling Luxury Segment
4.8.4 GCC Remote-Work Policies Increasing Expat Tenant Retention
4.8.5 Smart-home Mandates in Dubai 2040 Master Plan Accelerating Tech-ready Units
4.8.6 E-commerce Logistics Hubs Driving Peripheral Villa Demand
4.9 Market Restraints
4.9.1 Volatile Oil Prices Limiting Federal Spending & Subsidies
4.9.2 Rising Mortgage Rates Compressing Affordability for Mid-income Buyers
4.9.3 Oversupply Risk in High-rise Apartment Pipeline
4.9.4 Title-deed Registration Delays in Northern Emirates
4.10 Value / Supply-Chain Analysis
4.10.1 Overview
4.10.2 Real-estate Developers & Contractors - Quantitative & Qualitative Insights
4.10.3 Real-estate Brokers & Agents - Quantitative & Qualitative Insights
4.10.4 Property-management Companies - Quantitative & Qualitative Insights
4.10.5 Valuation Advisory & Other Real-estate Services
4.10.6 Building-materials Industry & Partnerships with Key Developers
4.10.7 Strategic Real-estate Investors/Buyers in the Market
4.11 Porter's Five Forces
4.11.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
4.11.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
4.11.3 Threat of New Entrants
4.11.4 Threat of Substitutes
4.11.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
5 Market Size & Growth Forecasts (Value)
5.1 By Property Type
5.1.1 Apartments & Condominiums
5.1.2 Villas & Landed Houses
5.2 By Price Band
5.2.1 Affordable
5.2.2 Mid-market
5.2.3 Luxury
5.3 By Mode of Sale
5.3.1 Primary (New-build / Off-plan)
5.3.2 Secondary (Existing-home Resale)
5.4 By Emirates
5.4.1 Dubai
5.4.2 Abu Dhabi
5.4.3 Sharjah
5.4.4 Ras Al Khaimah
5.4.5 Rest of UAE
6 Competitive Landscape
6.1 Market Concentration
6.2 Strategic Moves (M&A, JV, Land-bank Acquisitions, IPOs)
6.3 Market Share Analysis
6.4 Company Profiles {(includes Global-level Overview, Market-level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share, Products & Services, Recent Developments)}
6.4.1 Emaar Properties PJSC
6.4.2 Aldar Properties
6.4.3 Damac Properties
6.4.4 Nakheel PJSC
6.4.5 Azizi Developments
6.4.6 Arada
6.4.7 Deyaar Development
6.4.8 Dubai Properties
6.4.9 Union Properties
6.4.10 Bloom Holding
6.4.11 Sobha Realty
6.4.12 Ellington Properties
6.4.13 MAG Property Development
6.4.14 Danube Properties
6.4.15 Seven Tides
6.4.16 Tiger Properties
6.4.17 Binghatti Developers
6.4.18 Meydan Group
6.4.19 Wasl Properties
6.4.20 Meraas Holding
6.4.21 Al-Futtaim Group Real Estate
6.4.22 Omniyat
6.4.23 Select Group
6.4.24 Al Habtoor Group
6.4.25 Reportage Properties
7 Market Opportunities & Future Outlook
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