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Report
Rice - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
Market Report I 2025-06-01 I 95 Pages I Mordor Intelligence
Rice Market Analysis
The rice market attained USD 455.2 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 572.7 billion by 2030, registering a CAGR of 4.7%. Rice continues to serve as a fundamental food staple for more than half of the global population. Market expansion is attributed to increasing urban middle-class consumption, established government price-support mechanisms, and the implementation of hybrid seed varieties that deliver 15% higher yields compared to traditional varieties. The Asia-Pacific region maintains market dominance in 2024, while Africa exhibits the highest growth rate, driven by enhanced domestic production and consumer demand. The fragmented market structure and increased emphasis on sustainability have prompted investments in precision irrigation systems and methane-reduction protocols, resulting in reduced water consumption while generating supplementary revenue through carbon credits. The integration of blockchain-based traceability systems has enhanced product value, particularly in high-income markets where food safety is a primary consumer consideration.
Global Rice Market Trends and Insights
Rising Demand from Urban Middle-Income Consumers
Urbanization drives increased disposable income levels and shift consumer preferences toward premium aromatic and specialty rice varieties in modern retail channels. The demand for ready-to-eat packages and microwaveable cups continues to grow among urban working professionals, presenting margin opportunities for processors with advanced packaging capabilities. Quality-focused exporters establish strong positions in urban supermarket chains, while e-commerce platforms facilitate market penetration into Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities. These market dynamics support sustained volume growth and accelerate product premiumization across the Asia-Pacific and African regions.
Government Price-Support and Input Subsidy Programs
Government support measures, including minimum support prices, fertilizer subsidies, and electricity subsidies in India, China, Thailand, and Vietnam, protect farmers from market volatility and ensure rice cultivation remains economically viable. While policymakers implement these measures to safeguard rural livelihoods and urban food security, they affect global trade dynamics by increasing stock levels and reducing export prices from countries without subsidies. India's comprehensive subsidy system, which includes support for fertilizers, irrigation, and minimum crop prices, helps farmers maintain profitable operations despite market fluctuations, enabling the country to become the world's largest rice producer.
Chronic Water Scarcity in Major Producing Basins
Traditional flooded rice cultivation systems require 2,500 liters of water per kilogram of grain, rendering key rice-growing regions susceptible to water shortages amid increasing urban consumption. Although alternate wetting and drying techniques reduce water consumption by up to 35%, implementation remains limited due to insufficient expertise in field-level water management. The rice market experiences supply constraints as climate change induces irregular monsoon patterns and prolonged droughts, particularly affecting the Indo-Gangetic and Mekong deltas. Precision irrigation systems demonstrate potential water conservation of 70% and near-elimination of methane emissions. The substantial initial investment requirements and insufficient technical personnel impede broad-scale adoption.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
Adoption of Hybrid and High-Yield Varieties / Expanding Broken-Rice Use in Animal Feed and Brewing / Rising Agriculture Labor Costs and Rural Out-Migration /
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Segment Analysis
The Rice Market Report is Segmented by Geography (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, South America, Middle East, and Africa). The Report Includes Production Analysis (Volume), Consumption Analysis (Value and Volume), Export Analysis (Value and Volume), Import Analysis (Value and Volume), and Price Trend Analysis. The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD) and Volume (Metric Tons).
Geography Analysis
Asia-Pacific controls 83% of 2024 revenue, driven by significant consumption in China, India, Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam. India's emergence as the world's largest producer has altered export dynamics, while Thailand and Vietnam maintain their market position through aromatic rice varieties. The region's agricultural sector is transitioning from area expansion to productivity enhancement through mechanization and precision irrigation, prompted by water scarcity and workforce shifts. Thailand's traceability initiative, covering 5,000 organic farmers, demonstrates the region's commitment to digital supply chain transparency.
Africa exhibits the highest growth rate at 4.2% CAGR through 2030, driven by population growth and import substitution policies. Despite importing 40% of its rice requirements, countries such as Nigeria and Senegal are improving seed quality and irrigation systems to address yield gaps, which currently fall 2 metric tons per hectare below global averages. The region is expanding milling capacity and cold chain infrastructure to increase domestic value addition, supporting regional brand development and fortified rice products.
North America, Europe, and South America focus on technology integration and sustainability practices. The United States implements precision farming techniques, improving yields while generating carbon offsets through California's cap-and-trade system. Brazil's import of 1.3 million metric tons in 2024, following flood-related shortages, highlights climate risk exposure. European markets emphasize pesticide-residue standards and fair-labor certification, creating market entry challenges while offering stable contracts to compliant suppliers. Middle Eastern countries maintain import dependency, managing risk through diverse supplier relationships and strategic stockpiling.
List of Companies Covered in this Report:
Market Overview / Market Drivers / Market Restraints / Value/Supply-Chain Analysis / Regulatory Landscape / Technological Outlook / PESTLE Analysis / List of Stakeholders /
Additional Benefits:
The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format /
3 months of analyst support /
1 Introduction
1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
1.2 Scope of the Study
2 Research Methodology
3 Executive Summary
4 Market Landscape
4.1 Market Overview
4.2 Market Drivers
4.2.1 Rising Demand from Urban Middle-Income Consumers
4.2.2 Government Price-Support and Input Subsidy Programs
4.2.3 Adoption of Hybrid and High-Yield Varieties
4.2.4 Expanding Broken-Rice Use in Animal Feed and Brewing
4.2.5 Monetization of Paddy-Field Methane Credits
4.2.6 Blockchain-Based Rice Traceability Boosting Export Premiums
4.3 Market Restraints
4.3.1 Chronic Water Scarcity in Major Producing Basins
4.3.2 Rising Agriculture Labor Costs and Rural Out-Migration
4.3.3 Tightening Pesticide-Residue Limits
4.3.4 Ad-Hoc Export Bans by Key Suppliers Distort Trade Flows
4.4 Value/Supply-Chain Analysis
4.5 Regulatory Landscape
4.6 Technological Outlook
4.7 PESTLE Analysis
5 Market Size and Growth Forecasts (Value and Volume)
5.1 By Geography (Production Analysis (Volume), Consumption Analysis (Volume and Value), Import Analysis (Volume and Value), Export Analysis (Volume and Value), and Price Trend Analysis)
5.1.1 North America
5.1.1.1 United States
5.1.1.2 Canada
5.1.1.3 Mexico
5.1.2 Europe
5.1.2.1 Russia
5.1.2.2 Germany
5.1.2.3 Italy
5.1.2.4 Spain
5.1.2.5 France
5.1.3 Asia-Pacific
5.1.3.1 China
5.1.3.2 India
5.1.3.3 Bangladesh
5.1.3.4 Indonesia
5.1.3.5 Vietnam
5.1.3.6 Thailand
5.1.3.7 Philippines
5.1.3.8 Japan
5.1.3.9 Myanmar
5.1.3.10 Cambodia
5.1.4 South America
5.1.4.1 Brazil
5.1.4.2 Argentina
5.1.4.3 Peru
5.1.4.4 Colombia
5.1.5 Middle East
5.1.5.1 Iran
5.1.5.2 United Arab Emirates
5.1.5.3 Saudi Arabia
5.1.5.4 Turkey
5.1.6 Africa
5.1.6.1 South Africa
5.1.6.2 Ghana
5.1.6.3 Nigeria
5.1.6.4 Cote d'Ivoire
5.1.6.5 Kenya
6 Competitive Landscape
6.1 List of Stakeholders
7 Market Opportunities and Future Outlook
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