Please Wait.....
Report
Nordics Courier, Express, And Parcel (CEP) - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031)
Market Report I 2026-01-16 I 323 Pages I Mordor Intelligence
Nordics Courier, Express, And Parcel (CEP) Market Analysis
The Nordics courier, express, and parcel (CEP) market was valued at USD 8.54 billion in 2025 and estimated to grow from USD 8.89 billion in 2026 to reach USD 10.84 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 4.06% during the forecast period (2026-2031). Rising cross-border e-commerce, robust digital infrastructure, and sustained pharmaceutical investment together lift shipment volumes, while mandatory digital customs processes in Norway sharpen efficiency and transparency. Sweden anchors regional volume on the back of improving GDP, yet Finland records the quickest expansion due to EUR 1.5 billion (USD 1.65 billion) rail upgrades. Express delivery growth, widespread parcel-locker roll-outs, and fleet electrification also reinforce competitive service differentiation across dense urban and remote rural locations. Intensifying regulatory pressure on emissions raises near-term operating costs, but it simultaneously accelerates modal shifts to cleaner road fleets and airfreight for time-critical healthcare shipments.
Nordics Courier, Express, And Parcel (CEP) Market Trends and Insights
Surging E-Commerce Penetration Across Nordic Countries
Online retail outperforms traditional channels across the region, translating each purchase into at least one shipment and frequently an additional return. Sweden's online sales momentum drives carrier investments in 6,000 parcel lockers that ease final-mile density. Finland, Norway, and Denmark display similar upward curves, helped by 95% household broadband coverage that supports seamless checkout and carrier-selection APIs. The resulting volume uplift benefits integrated providers, particularly those able to offer late-cutoff same-day options and flexible locker pickup for rural consumers. Continuous spending growth keeps volumes on a rising trajectory through 2030, underpinning positive operating leverage even as parcel weights trend lower.
Rising Consumer Demand for Same-Day and Next-Day Delivery
Rapid fulfillment expectations set new service standards. Carriers respond with urban micro-hubs and extended evening windows that now reach 22:00 in Copenhagen and Oslo. Night-distribution models such as Early Bird in Stockholm illustrate how existing newspaper routes shorten first-wave delivery times. Healthcare and premium electronics remain willing to pay extra for immediacy, lifting express CAGR above non-express. Yet cost complexity rises, pressing operators to blend route-optimizing software, zero-emission vans, and parcel-locker networks to uphold margins while meeting strict municipal emission caps.
High Labor Costs and Unionized Workforce
Average hourly logistics wages in Sweden and Denmark outstrip continental peers, squeezing margins even as parcel volumes rise. Collective agreements restrict scheduling flexibility during peak seasons, prompting accelerated automation trials in hubs that still face union resistance. DSV agreed to preserve German jobs for two years after the Schenker takeover, highlighting how labor clauses shape merger synergies and slow network realignment.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
Robust Digital Infrastructure Enabling End-to-End VisibilityCross-Border Trade Expansion Within EU and UK Post-Brexit AdjustmentsStringent Environmental Regulations on Road Freight Emissions
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Segment Analysis
Healthcare parcels expand at a 4.36% CAGR between 2026-2031, driven by Denmark's concentration of more than 50% of Nordic GMP sites and Novo Nordisk's multibillion-dollar capex that amplifies cold-chain demand. GDP-compliant hubs and validated insulated packaging become decisive tender criteria, letting specialized carriers earn price premiums.
E-commerce nevertheless remains the largest contributor at 42.20% of the 2025 value. The segment benefits from high smartphone penetration and consumer trust in digital payments. Manufacturing, wholesale, and retail maintain a stable baseline, while primary industry volumes fluctuate with commodity cycles.
International traffic, though smaller, is forecast to outpace domestic throughput at a 4.32% CAGR between 2026-2031, thanks to rising intra-EU commerce and smoother customs pre-clearance under Digitoll. DSV's enlarged network post-Schenker greatly boosts cross-border lane capacity, underpinning scalable returns consolidation. Domestic parcels retain 64.18% of the 2025 value as shoppers favor local platforms offering same-day delivery options and free returns. The combined structure ensures the Nordics courier, express, and parcel (CEP) market maintains balanced exposure to local density and international upside.
Nordics courier, express, and parcel (CEP) market size growth within domestic deliveries remains steady because metropolitan demand for instant fulfillment drives higher stop densities. International flows gain traction from EU-wide simplified data flows and Nordic exporters diversifying markets beyond the United Kingdom, supporting better aircraft load factors at Nordic air hubs.
The Nordics Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) Market Report is Segmented by Destination (Domestic and International), Speed of Delivery (Express and Non-Express), Model (Business-To-Business (B2B), and More), Shipment Weight (Heavy Weight, and More), Mode of Transport (Air, Road, and Others), End User Industry (E-Commerce, and More), and Country (Denmark, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
List of Companies Covered in this Report:
DHL Group DSV A/S (Including DB Schenker) FedEx GEODIS Instabee Jetpak Top Holding AB Posten Bring AS PostNord United Parcel Service (UPS)
Additional Benefits:
The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
3 months of analyst support
1 Introduction
1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
1.2 Scope of the Study
2 Research Methodology
3 Executive Summary
4 Market Landscape
4.1 Market Overview
4.2 Demographics
4.3 GDP Distribution by Economic Activity
4.4 GDP Growth by Economic Activity
4.5 Inflation
4.6 Economic Performance and Profile
4.6.1 Trends in E-Commerce Industry
4.6.2 Trends in Manufacturing Industry
4.7 Transport and Storage Sector GDP
4.8 Export Trends
4.9 Import Trends
4.10 Fuel Price
4.11 Logistics Performance
4.12 Infrastructure
4.13 Regulatory Framework
4.13.1 Nordics
4.14 Value Chain and Distribution Channel Analysis
4.15 Market Drivers
4.15.1 Surging E-Commerce Penetration across Nordic Countries
4.15.2 Rising Consumer Demand for Same-Day and Next-Day Delivery
4.15.3 Robust Digital Infrastructure Enabling End-to-End Visibility
4.15.4 Cross-Border Trade Expansion Within EU and UK Post-Brexit Adjustments
4.15.5 Rapid Rollout of Parcel Lockers in Rural and Suburban Areas
4.15.6 Government EV Subsidies Lowering Last-Mile Costs
4.16 Market Restraints
4.16.1 High Labor Costs and Unionized Workforce
4.16.2 Stringent Environmental Regulations on Road Freight Emissions
4.16.3 Access Restrictions in Historic Urban Centers
4.16.4 Price Compression from Crowd-Shipping Entrants
4.17 Technology Innovations in the Market
4.18 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
4.18.1 Threat of New Entrants
4.18.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
4.18.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
4.18.4 Threat of Substitutes
4.18.5 Competitive Rivalry
5 Market Size and Growth Forecasts (Value, USD)
5.1 Destination
5.1.1 Domestic
5.1.2 International
5.2 Speed of Delivery
5.2.1 Express
5.2.2 Non-Express
5.3 Model
5.3.1 Business-to-Business (B2B)
5.3.2 Business-to-Consumer (B2C)
5.3.3 Consumer-to-Consumer (C2C)
5.4 Shipment Weight
5.4.1 Heavy Weight Shipments
5.4.2 Light Weight Shipments
5.4.3 Medium Weight Shipments
5.5 Mode of Transport
5.5.1 Air
5.5.2 Road
5.5.3 Others
5.6 End User Industry
5.6.1 E-Commerce
5.6.2 Financial Services (BFSI)
5.6.3 Healthcare
5.6.4 Manufacturing
5.6.5 Primary Industry
5.6.6 Wholesale and Retail Trade (Offline)
5.6.7 Others
5.7 Country
5.7.1 Denmark
5.7.2 Finland
5.7.3 Iceland
5.7.4 Norway
5.7.5 Sweden
6 Competitive Landscape
6.1 Market Concentration
6.2 Key Strategic Moves
6.3 Market Share Analysis
6.4 Company Profiles (Includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as Available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for Key Companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
6.4.1 DHL Group
6.4.2 DSV A/S (Including DB Schenker)
6.4.3 FedEx
6.4.4 GEODIS
6.4.5 Instabee
6.4.6 Jetpak Top Holding AB
6.4.7 Posten Bring AS
6.4.8 PostNord
6.4.9 United Parcel Service (UPS)
7 Market Opportunities and Future Outlook
7.1 White-Space and Unmet-Need Assessment
- Not Sure / Need Reassuring
- Confirm Content
-
Content is provided by our partners and every effort is made to make Market Report details as clear as possible. If you are not sure the exact content you require is included in this study you can Contact us to double check. To do this you can:
Use the ‘? ASK A QUESTION’ below the license / prices and to the right of this box. This will come directly to our team who will work on dealing with your request as soon as possible.
Write to directly on support@scotts-international.com with details. Please include as much information as possible including the name of report or link so our staff will be able to work on you request.
Telephone us directly on 0048 603 394 346 and an experienced member of team will be on hand to answer.
-
- Sample Pages
-
With the vast majority of our partners we can obtain Sample Pages to support your decision. This is something we can arrange without revealing your personal details.
It is important to note that we will not be able to provide you the exact data or statistics such as Market Size and Forecasts. Sample pages usually confirm the layout or the Categories included in Charts and Graphs, excluding specific data.
To ask for Sample Pages by contact us through ‘? ASK A QUESTION’, support@scotts-international.com, or by telephoning 0048 603 394 346.
-
- Check for Alternatives
-
Whilst we try to make our online platform as easy to use as possible there is always the possibility that a better alternative has not been found in your search.
To avoid this possibility Contact us through ‘? ASK A QUESTION’, support@scotts-international.com, or by telephoning 0048 603 394 346 and a Senior Team Member can review your requirements and send a list of possibilities with opinions and recommendations.
-
- Confirm Content
- Prices / Formats / Delivery
- Prices
-
All prices are set by our partners and should be exactly the same as those listed on their own websites. We work on a Revenue share basis ensuring that you never pay more than what is offered elsewhere.
Should you find the price cheaper on another platform we recommend you to Contact us as we should be able to match this price. You can Contact us though through ‘? ASK A QUESTION’, support@scotts-international.com, or by telephoning 0048 603 394 346.
-
- Discounts
-
As we work in close partnership with our Partners from time to time we can secure discounts and assist with negotiations, this is part of our personalised service to you.
Discounts can sometimes be arranged for speedily placed orders; multiple report purchases or Higher License purchases.
To check if a Discount is possible please Contact our experienced team through ‘? ASK A QUESTION’, support@scotts-international.com, or by telephoning 0048 603 394 346.
-
- Available Currencies
-
Most Market Reports on our platform are listed in USD or EURO based on the wishes of our Partners. To avoid currency fluctuations and potential price differentiations we do not offer the possibility to change the currency online.
Should you wish to pay in a different currency to that advertised online we do accept payments in USD, EURO, GBP and PLN. The price will be calculated based on the relevant exchange rate taken from our National Bank.
To pay in a different above currency to that advertised online please Contact our team and a quotation will be sent within a couple of hours with payment details.
-
- Licenses
-
License options vary from Partner to Partner as is usually based on the number of Users that will benefitting from the report. It is very important that License ordered is not breached as this could have potential negative consequences for you individually or your employer.
If you have questions or need confirmation about the specific license we recommend you to Contact us and a detailed explanation will be provided.
-
- Global Site License
-
The Global Site License is the most comprehensive license available. By selecting this license, the Market Report can be shared with other ‘Allowed Users’ and any other member of staff from the same organisation regardless of geographic location.
It is important to note that this may exclude Parent Companies or Subsidiaries.
If you have questions or need confirmation about the specific license we recommend you to Contact us and a detailed explanation will be provided.
-
- Formats
-
The most common format is PDF, however in certain circumstances data may be present in Excel format or Online, especially in the case of Database or Directories. In addition, for certain higher license options a CD may also be provided.
If you have questions or need clarification about the specific formats we recommend you to Contact us and a detailed explanation will be provided.
-
- Delivery
-
Delivery is fulfilled by our partners directly. Once an order has been placed we inform the partner by sharing the delivery email details given in the order process.
Delivery is usually made within 24 hours of an order being placed, however it may take longer should your order be placed prior to the weekend or if otherwise specified on the Market Report details page. Additionally, if details have been not fully completed in the Order process a delay in delivery is possible.
If a delay in delivery is expected you will be informed about it immediately.
-
- Shipping Charges
-
As most Market Reports are delivered in PDF format we almost never have to add additional Shipping Charges. If, however you are ordering a Higher License service or a specific delivery format (e.g. CD version) charges may apply.
If you are concerned about additional Shipping Charges we recommend you to Contact us to double check.
-
- Prices
- Ordering
- By Credit Card
-
We work in Partnership with PayU to ensure payments are made securely in a fast and effortless way. PayU is the e-payments division of Naspers.
Naspers operates in over 133 International Markets and ranks 3rd Globally in terms of the number of e-commerce customers served.
For more information on PayU please visit: https://www.payu.pl/en/about-us
-
- By Money Transfer
-
If you require an invoice prior to payment, this is possible. To ensure a speedy delivery of the Market Report we require all relevant company details and you agree to maximum payment terms of 30 days from receipt of order.
With our regular clients deliver of the Market Report can be made prior to receiving payment, however in some circumstances we may ask for payment to be received before arranging for the Market Report to be delivered.
-
- By Credit Card
- Security
- Website security
-
We have specifically partnered with leading International companies to protect your privacy by using different technologies and processes to ensure security.
Everything submitted to Scotts International is encrypted via SSL (Secure Socket Layer) and all personal information provided to Scotts International is stored on computer systems with limited access in controlled environments.
-
- Credit Card Security
-
We partner with PayU (https://www.payu.pl/en/about-us) to ensure all credit card payments are made securely in a fast and effortless way.
PayU offers 250+ various payment channels and eWallet services across 4 continents allowing buyers to pay electronically, whether on a computer or a mobile device.
-
- Website security