Breakfast Cereals - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031)
Market Report I 2026-02-09 I 170 Pages I Mordor Intelligence
Breakfast Cereals Market Analysis
The global breakfast cereals market was valued at USD 44.21 billion in 2025 and estimated to grow from USD 46.44 billion in 2026 to reach USD 59.43 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 5.05% during the forecast period (2026-2031). The market growth is driven by changing consumer preferences, increased health consciousness, and demand for convenient breakfast options. The fast-paced modern lifestyle has increased the demand for ready-to-eat and hot cereal products that offer quick meal solutions. Consumers are seeking cereals with enhanced nutritional profiles, including those fortified with fiber, protein, whole grains, and probiotics, while preferring options with reduced sugar content. The market is also experiencing growth in plant-based, organic, and gluten-free varieties to meet specific dietary requirements. In addition, the rise of e-commerce and digital grocery platforms has improved product accessibility, particularly in developing markets, contributing to the breakfast cereals market's expansion.
Global Breakfast Cereals Market Trends and Insights
Rising Demand for High-Protein Cereal Variants Among Consumers
The breakfast cereals market is experiencing a notable transition toward protein-enriched products, driven by increased consumer focus on nutrition and health. In December 2024, General Mills Inc. expanded its Cheerios portfolio by introducing Cheerios Protein, which contains 8 grams of protein per serving. This product launch reflects market trends, supported by the 2024 Food and Health Survey from the International Food Information Council, which revealed that 71% of consumers aim to increase their protein consumption . The protein cereal segment has gained particular momentum among millennial parents seeking both nutritional value and convenience, enabling manufacturers to implement premium pricing strategies. Manufacturers are also expanding their protein sources beyond dairy to include plant-based alternatives, addressing the growing flexitarian consumer base and creating new market opportunities in the breakfast cereal category. This shift continues to shape the breakfast cereals market.
Surge in Single-Serve Breakfast Habits Fueling On-the-Go Cereal Cups
The global breakfast cereals market is experiencing significant growth driven by increasing demand for single-serve and on-the-go breakfast formats, particularly cereal cups. This trend reflects the impact of urbanization and changing lifestyles among working professionals and students who have limited time for traditional breakfast meals. Single-serve cereal cups meet consumer needs by combining convenience with nutrition through portable, portion-controlled options that are easy to prepare. These formats are particularly popular in urban areas where consumers often eat breakfast during their commute or at work. Also, major cereal manufacturers are responding by diversifying their product lines with portable formats that incorporate ingredients such as granola, oats, seeds, and various milk options. The products feature improved packaging designs, including microwaveable containers, resealable lids, and recyclable materials, which enhance both functionality and environmental sustainability in the breakfast cereals market. For instance, in October 2024, Inventure launched four of its popular cereal flavors in a new 'on the go' cup format, designed for consumption at pre-school, office, or as a snack, requiring consumers to simply peel back the lid and add milk.
Volatile Oat and Corn Commodity Prices Compressing Margins
Cereal manufacturers face increasing margin pressure as key ingredient costs experience significant volatility, affecting pricing strategies and production planning. The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) forecasts global cereal trade to decline to 478 million tonnes in 2024/25, a 6.8% decrease from 2023/24. Agricultural adaptations, including stress-tolerant hybrids and improved farming practices, have partially offset grain price volatility caused by climate change and erratic weather patterns. However, market dynamics remain unstable. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) projects tightening supplies for key grains in 2024-25, despite minor increases in global wheat production. This supply constraint affects manufacturers with global supply chains, as regional production disruptions impact interconnected ingredient markets. Companies are managing these challenges through long-term supplier contracts, flexible ingredient formulations, and hedging programs to stabilize input costs.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
Growing Penetration of Gluten-Free Grains Expanding Multi-Grain CerealsPrivate-Label Premiumization Driving Value GrowthIntensifying Anti-Sugar Advocacy Affecting Cereal Sales
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Segment Analysis
Corn-based cereals hold a dominant 36.40% market share in 2025, benefiting from cost advantages and manufacturing efficiencies that enable competitive pricing in value segments. Oat-based products show the highest growth rate at 6.25% CAGR (2026-2031), supported by their established nutritional benefits and adaptability in both ready-to-eat (RTE) and ready-to-cook (RTC) formats. Technological advancements in oat processing have improved texture and flavor while maintaining nutritional value. The European Union leads global oats production at 33%, followed by Canada at 15% for 2024/25, according to the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) . The regional consumption of oat-based breakfast cereals continues to increase, driven by consumer demand for nutritious, high-fiber breakfast products in the breakfast cereals market.
Wheat-based cereals continue to hold substantial market share, especially in flaked formats, while rice-based cereals gain traction in the gluten-free category. Barley remains limited to multi-grain formulations despite its nutritional benefits. Alternative grains, including quinoa and amaranth, show rapid growth in premium segments, though their overall market share remains small. This expanding range of grain sources reflects industry efforts to develop distinct products for specific dietary requirements, as demonstrated by Nestle's commitment to using whole grains as the primary ingredient in all their ready-to-eat cereals.
Ready-to-eat (RTE) cereals hold a dominant 74.60% market share in 2025, primarily due to their convenience for time-constrained households. Ready-to-cook (RTC) cereals are experiencing faster growth with a CAGR of 5.75% (2026-2031), as consumers increasingly view hot cereals as more nutritious and filling. Hot oatmeal, in particular, has gained popularity due to its health benefits and adaptability for customization with various toppings.
In the Ready-to-eat (RTE) segment, flakes remain the largest sub-segment, while granola and clusters show higher growth rates due to their wholesome ingredients and texture. Protein enrichment is driving new product development in this category. For example, in November 2024, FUEL10K introduced Multigrain Flakes in Chocolate and Red Berry flavors, featuring high-protein, high-fiber wholegrain wheat flakes. In the RTC segment, premium muesli and specialized porridge mixes are growing faster than basic oatmeal, indicating consumers' willingness to pay more for higher quality and enhanced nutritional benefits.
The Global Breakfast Cereal Market is Segmented by Product Type (Ready-To-Cook Cereals and Ready-To-Eat Cereals), Ingredient Source (Wheat, Corn, Oats, Rice, and More), Packaging Type (Boxes, Stand-Up Pouches, and More), Distribution Channel (Supermarkets/Hypermarkets, Convenience Stores, and More), by Age Group (Adults and Children), and Geography (North America and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
Geography Analysis
North America holds a 36.30% share of the global breakfast cereals market in 2025, supported by high per-capita consumption and extensive retail distribution networks. The region shows moderate growth as manufacturers develop value-added products to address volume challenges in mature segments. Health-oriented innovations, specifically protein-enriched varieties and reduced-sugar formulations, drive market expansion. The FDA's 2024 nutrition labeling requirements have enhanced transparency for added sugars, prompting manufacturers to adapt formulations to meet consumer preferences.
Asia-Pacific demonstrates the highest growth potential with a projected CAGR of 6.10% (2026-2031), supported by urbanization, increasing disposable incomes, and evolving dietary habits. China, India, and Southeast Asian countries show robust growth as urban consumers adopt Western-style breakfast options. International manufacturers are customizing products for local tastes while promoting nutritional benefits, establishing foundations for sustained market expansion.
Europe exhibits distinct regional consumption patterns and product preferences in a mature market environment. Consumers demonstrate high nutritional awareness, favoring organic, whole grain, and reduced-sugar products. The European Food Safety Authority's 2024 nutritional guidelines emphasize whole grain consumption and sugar reduction, affecting consumer choices and product formulations. Private label products maintain a significant market presence, with retailers developing competitive offerings across price segments. Eastern European markets present growth opportunities as rising disposable incomes support increased breakfast cereal consumption.
List of Companies Covered in this Report:
General Mills Inc. Post Holdings Inc. Nestle S.A. PepsiCo Inc. Marico Ltd. Calbee Inc. Sanitarium Health & Wellbeing Company Natures Path Foods Tata Consumer Products Limited The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. Bobs Red Mill Natural Foods Bagrrys India Limited Dr. Oetker GmbH Jordans & Ryvita Company Rude Health Foods Ltd. Three Wishes Cereal Familia AG Hero AG Purely Elizabeth Shantis Food
Additional Benefits:
1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
1.2 Scope of the Study
2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
4 MARKET LANDSCAPE
4.1 Market Overview
4.2 Market Drivers
4.2.1 Rising Demand for High-Protein Cereal Variants Among Consumers
4.2.2 Surge in Single-Serve Breakfast Habits Fueling On-the-Go Cereal Cups
4.2.3 Growing Penetration of Gluten-Free Grains Expanding Multi-Grain Cereals
4.2.4 Private-Label Premiumization Driving Value Growth
4.2.5 Production Technology Advances Enhance Product Quality
4.2.6 Rising Children's Population Increases Nutritional Focus
4.3 Market Restraints
4.3.1 Volatile Oat and Corn Commodity Prices Compressing Margins
4.3.2 Intensifying Anti-Sugar Advocacy Affecting Cereal Sales
4.3.3 Environmental Concerns about Packaging
4.3.4 Supply Chain Issues and Raw Material Cost Fluctuations
4.4 Value/Supply-Chain Analysis
4.5 Regulatory Outlook
4.6 Technological Outlook
4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
4.7.1 Threat of New Entrants
4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
4.7.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
4.7.4 Threat of Substitute Products
4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE)
5.1 By Product Type
5.1.1 Ready-to-Eat Cereals
5.1.1.1 Flakes
5.1.1.2 Puffed Cereals
5.1.1.3 Granola and Clusters
5.1.1.4 Others (Coated/Sugar-Frosted Cereals, Shredded and Threaded)
5.1.2 Ready-to-Cook Cereals
5.1.2.1 Hot Oatmeal
5.1.2.2 Muesli and Porridge Mixes
5.1.2.3 Other Ready-to-Cook Cereals
5.2 By Ingredient Source
5.2.1 Wheat
5.2.2 Corn
5.2.3 Oats
5.2.4 Rice
5.2.5 Barley
5.2.6 Others
5.3 By Packaging Type
5.3.1 Boxes
5.3.2 Stand-Up Pouches
5.3.3 Cups and Bowls
5.3.4 Others (plastic jars, and bags, etc.)
5.4 By Distribution Channel
5.4.1 Supermarkets/Hypermarkets
5.4.2 Convenience Stores
5.4.3 Specialty Stores
5.4.4 Online Retailers
5.4.5 Other Distribution Channels
5.5 By Age Group
5.5.1 Adults
5.5.2 Children
5.6 By Geography
5.6.1 North America
5.6.1.1 United States
5.6.1.2 Canada
5.6.1.3 Mexico
5.6.1.4 Rest of North America
5.6.2 Europe
5.6.2.1 Germany
5.6.2.2 United Kingdom
5.6.2.3 Italy
5.6.2.4 France
5.6.2.5 Spain
5.6.2.6 Netherlands
5.6.2.7 Poland
5.6.2.8 Belgium
5.6.2.9 Sweden
5.6.2.10 Rest of Europe
5.6.3 Asia-Pacific
5.6.3.1 China
5.6.3.2 India
5.6.3.3 Japan
5.6.3.4 Australia
5.6.3.5 Indonesia
5.6.3.6 South Korea
5.6.3.7 Thailand
5.6.3.8 Singapore
5.6.3.9 Rest of Asia-Pacific
5.6.4 South America
5.6.4.1 Brazil
5.6.4.2 Argentina
5.6.4.3 Colombia
5.6.4.4 Chile
5.6.4.5 Peru
5.6.4.6 Rest of South America
5.6.5 Middle East and Africa
5.6.5.1 South Africa
5.6.5.2 Saudi Arabia
5.6.5.3 United Arab Emirates
5.6.5.4 Nigeria
5.6.5.5 Egypt
5.6.5.6 Morocco
5.6.5.7 Turkey
5.6.5.8 Rest of Middle East and Africa
6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
6.1 Market Concentration
6.2 Strategic Moves
6.3 Market Share Analysis
6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
6.4.1 General Mills Inc.
6.4.2 Post Holdings Inc.
6.4.3 Nestle S.A.
6.4.4 PepsiCo Inc.
6.4.5 Marico Ltd.
6.4.6 Calbee Inc.
6.4.7 Sanitarium Health & Wellbeing Company
6.4.8 Nature's Path Foods
6.4.9 Tata Consumer Products Limited
6.4.10 The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.
6.4.11 Bob's Red Mill Natural Foods
6.4.12 Bagrrys India Limited
6.4.13 Dr. Oetker GmbH
6.4.14 Jordan's & Ryvita Company
6.4.15 Rude Health Foods Ltd.
6.4.16 Three Wishes Cereal
6.4.17 Familia AG
6.4.18 Hero AG
6.4.19 Purely Elizabeth
6.4.20 Shantis Food
7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK
Content is provided by our partners and every effort is made to make Market Report details as clear as possible. If you are not sure the exact content you require is included in this study you can Contact us to double check. To do this you can:
Use the ‘? ASK A QUESTION’ below the license / prices and to the right of this box. This will come directly to our team who will work on dealing with your request as soon as possible.
Write to directly on support@scotts-international.com with details. Please include as much information as possible including the name of report or link so our staff will be able to work on you request.
Telephone us directly on 0048 603 394 346 and an experienced member of team will be on hand to answer.
With the vast majority of our partners we can obtain Sample Pages to support your decision. This is something we can arrange without revealing your personal details.
It is important to note that we will not be able to provide you the exact data or statistics such as Market Size and Forecasts. Sample pages usually confirm the layout or the Categories included in Charts and Graphs, excluding specific data.
To ask for Sample Pages by contact us through ‘? ASK A QUESTION’, support@scotts-international.com, or by telephoning 0048 603 394 346.
Whilst we try to make our online platform as easy to use as possible there is always the possibility that a better alternative has not been found in your search.
To avoid this possibility Contact us through ‘? ASK A QUESTION’, support@scotts-international.com, or by telephoning 0048 603 394 346 and a Senior Team Member can review your requirements and send a list of possibilities with opinions and recommendations.
All prices are set by our partners and should be exactly the same as those listed on their own websites. We work on a Revenue share basis ensuring that you never pay more than what is offered elsewhere.
Should you find the price cheaper on another platform we recommend you to Contact us as we should be able to match this price. You can Contact us though through ‘? ASK A QUESTION’, support@scotts-international.com, or by telephoning 0048 603 394 346.
As we work in close partnership with our Partners from time to time we can secure discounts and assist with negotiations, this is part of our personalised service to you.
Discounts can sometimes be arranged for speedily placed orders; multiple report purchases or Higher License purchases.
To check if a Discount is possible please Contact our experienced team through ‘? ASK A QUESTION’, support@scotts-international.com, or by telephoning 0048 603 394 346.
Most Market Reports on our platform are listed in USD or EURO based on the wishes of our Partners. To avoid currency fluctuations and potential price differentiations we do not offer the possibility to change the currency online.
Should you wish to pay in a different currency to that advertised online we do accept payments in USD, EURO, GBP and PLN. The price will be calculated based on the relevant exchange rate taken from our National Bank.
To pay in a different above currency to that advertised online please Contact our team and a quotation will be sent within a couple of hours with payment details.
License options vary from Partner to Partner as is usually based on the number of Users that will benefitting from the report. It is very important that License ordered is not breached as this could have potential negative consequences for you individually or your employer.
If you have questions or need confirmation about the specific license we recommend you to Contact us and a detailed explanation will be provided.
The Global Site License is the most comprehensive license available. By selecting this license, the Market Report can be shared with other ‘Allowed Users’ and any other member of staff from the same organisation regardless of geographic location.
It is important to note that this may exclude Parent Companies or Subsidiaries.
If you have questions or need confirmation about the specific license we recommend you to Contact us and a detailed explanation will be provided.
The most common format is PDF, however in certain circumstances data may be present in Excel format or Online, especially in the case of Database or Directories. In addition, for certain higher license options a CD may also be provided.
If you have questions or need clarification about the specific formats we recommend you to Contact us and a detailed explanation will be provided.
Delivery is fulfilled by our partners directly. Once an order has been placed we inform the partner by sharing the delivery email details given in the order process.
Delivery is usually made within 24 hours of an order being placed, however it may take longer should your order be placed prior to the weekend or if otherwise specified on the Market Report details page. Additionally, if details have been not fully completed in the Order process a delay in delivery is possible.
If a delay in delivery is expected you will be informed about it immediately.
As most Market Reports are delivered in PDF format we almost never have to add additional Shipping Charges. If, however you are ordering a Higher License service or a specific delivery format (e.g. CD version) charges may apply.
If you are concerned about additional Shipping Charges we recommend you to Contact us to double check.
We work in Partnership with PayU to ensure payments are made securely in a fast and effortless way. PayU is the e-payments division of Naspers.
Naspers operates in over 133 International Markets and ranks 3rd Globally in terms of the number of e-commerce customers served.
For more information on PayU please visit: https://www.payu.pl/en/about-us
If you require an invoice prior to payment, this is possible. To ensure a speedy delivery of the Market Report we require all relevant company details and you agree to maximum payment terms of 30 days from receipt of order.
With our regular clients deliver of the Market Report can be made prior to receiving payment, however in some circumstances we may ask for payment to be received before arranging for the Market Report to be delivered.
We have specifically partnered with leading International companies to protect your privacy by using different technologies and processes to ensure security.
Everything submitted to Scotts International is encrypted via SSL (Secure Socket Layer) and all personal information provided to Scotts International is stored on computer systems with limited access in controlled environments.
We partner with PayU (https://www.payu.pl/en/about-us) to ensure all credit card payments are made securely in a fast and effortless way.
PayU offers 250+ various payment channels and eWallet services across 4 continents allowing buyers to pay electronically, whether on a computer or a mobile device.